Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

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1989TransAm
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Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by 1989TransAm » Tue Sep 18, 2018 1:53 pm

Maybe people are getting tired of the dimoKKKRAT charades. This was an even race not to long ago according to the polls. :D

"Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz has a 54 - 45 percent likely voter lead over U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke, his Democratic challenger, in the Texas Senate race, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.
This is the first survey of likely voters in this race by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll, and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters. Among Texas likely voters who choose a candidate, 93 percent say their mind is made up. That includes 94 percent of Cruz backers and 92 percent of O'Rourke backers.
Women are divided as 50 percent back Cruz and 48 percent back O'Rourke. Men back Cruz 57 - 42 percent. White voters back Cruz 66 - 32 percent. O'Rourke leads 97 - 3 percent among black voters and 54 - 45 percent among Hispanic voters.
Republicans back Cruz 94 - 6 percent, as Democrats go to O'Rourke 94 - 4 percent. Independent voters are divided with 51 percent for O'Rourke and 47 percent for Cruz."

https://poll.qu.edu/texas/release-detail?ReleaseID=2570

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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by mk e » Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:50 am

Oops, now its reversed with o'rouke up by 2

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/o-r ... 48000.html

I expect Cruz to win, but a Republican is winning in Texas shouldn't be news ;)
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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by sanfordandson » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:06 am

mk e wrote:
Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:50 am
Oops, now its reversed with o'rouke up by 2

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/o-r ... 48000.html

I expect Cruz to win, but a Republican is winning in Texas shouldn't be news ;)
Now that its reversed, this poll must certainly be fake news.... :lol:

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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by RevTheory » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:10 am

He picked up 11 points in a couple of days, huh?

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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by mk e » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:20 am

RevTheory wrote:
Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:10 am
He picked up 11 points in a couple of days, huh?
No!!!!

They're likely both wrong. The best guess is Cruz by about 5. The MoE numbers and sample size matter which is why sites like RCP or 538 collect and combine them to increase sample size and decrease MoE.
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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by RevTheory » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:25 am

Good. I was hoping you weren't going down the poll road again :wink:

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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by mk e » Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:27 am

Polls get you close....but a single poll has almost no value
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Re: Quinnipiac has Cruz ahead of Beto O'Rourke (54 to 45)

Post by sanfordandson » Fri Sep 21, 2018 10:56 am

mk e wrote:
Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:27 am
Polls get you close....but a single poll has almost no value
You keep telling them that and they still don't get it. I applaud your persistence. =D>

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